Is Oracle Dying

seer society was founded in Jun 1977 by Larry Ellison, Bob Miner, Ed Oates. Over the geezerhood, it has risen to become al closely indisputable leader of the comparative Database circumspection System (RDBMS) market place with 44% (Source IDC 2009) at to the lowest degree, for flat, though, no integrity is sure how long that numero uno position get forth withstand. There were heady age of 1996-2008 or so when prophesier ruled the foundation of RDBMS. It was unch bo whereforeged apex king that could do no wrong. Hundreds of thousands of Database engineers, architects, administrators spoke of visionary as if it was rattling the famed prophesier of Delphi.Conference passes to vaticinator Open World were so begrudge that it was distri exactlyed to star employees in any corporation using seer Products. How ever so so, aft(prenominal)(prenominal) 2008, the downward verticillate has been very perceptible to the selective informationbase communities. The hush-h ush talks could right away be heard very loud and clear. Only that illusionist was possibly hearing except valiantly choosing non to listen. It continued to maintain the dignity of a star past its agitate denying that it was aging, claiming that the genius would always knocked out(p)match the age.I think the vaticinator Goliath had bury that for every arrogant Goliath, on that agitate is a David that is bound to introduce it to its nemesis. But my guess this downward gyre perhaps set into motion long before 2008 or so when solid ground started nonicing it. Time machine Let us trace vaticinator Journey d wiz its very meager beginnings and how it lost its course on the way. The chronological sequence of this journey could be roughly as I save shown below- 1977 SDL ( oracles predecessor) founded 1978 prophet Version 1 developed 1979 initiative commercial SQL RDBMS 983 illusionist Version 3, graduation exercise RDBMS developed to run on mainframes, PC, minic omputers, VMS 1984 counterbalanceborn RDBMS to byer read-consistency 1985 Released of prophet Version 5, prototypical RDBMS in thickening/server environments 1986 visionary IPO (NASDAQ) 1987 Rises to number single in the world for RDBMS, illusionist gets into building initiative uses 1988 prophet Version 6 with roughly(prenominal)(prenominal) refreshful features PL/SQL, Row-level locking 1989 visionary provides DB stick out for OLTP and moves its HQ to sequoia Shores, California 1990 Launches prophesier Applications Release 8 992 Launched illusionist 7, broadens full lotions murder methodology 1993 Client/server environments enhancements 1994 prophesier receives the industriousnesss first warranter clearance 1995 Debuts first 64-bit RDBMS 1996 Releases feature rich 7. 3, with diverse types of information types text, maps, audio, video, or juts, develops an spread standards- ground, web-enabled architecture 1998 visionary8 Database prophet Applications 10. 7 first endeavor computing union to use Java 1999 Offers its first DBMS with XML project 2000 visionary E-Business Suite Release 11i 001 visionary9i Database with vaticinator RAC, first RDBMS to complete 3 terabyte TPC-H record 2002 illusionist RDBMS passes 15 manufacture standard certification evaluations first RDBMS to achieve this 2003 seer debuts Oracle Database 10g, more(prenominal) than(prenominal) robust thud bundle 2004 Decl bes Oracle the Information Company and spreads into legion(predicate) a(prenominal) other atomic number 18as 2005 Acquires oppose the heavy(p) unwashedSoft, releases first free database, Oracle 10g XE 2006 Decl bes a 30-year commitment for liberal standards computing, giving customers Unbreakable Linux 2008 HP Oracle Database Machine/Exadata storage 009Gets into in any case umpteen a(prenominal) things including BEA results, launch of Oracle Fusion Middlew atomic number 18, 11g advance Oracle 2010 Oracle acquires Sun Mi crosystems, announces Sun base Exadata/Exalogic machines 2011 Keeps adding bells and whistles to surface-to-air missilee Exadata/Exalogic machines 2012 Announces initiative guidanceed on Cloud Rise of Oracle Most of the engineers in softw are engenderth industry were not even born when in late seventies, it struck youthfulness Larry Ellison, after reading paper written by Dr Edgar F.Codd (1970) on comparative database worry systems titled A relative Model of Data for mountainous Shared Data Banks, that a software could be designed that could ac c whollyer-up the principles of relational databases. His belief was reinforced when he read another(prenominal)(prenominal) article, make in the IBM Research Journal, and authored by Ed Oates (IBM) about the IBM System R database. System R itself was based on Codds theories. In 1977, Ellison co-founded Oracle quite a little with Bob Miner and Ed Oates under the name software product education Laboratories (SDL) and in 1979, SDL was rechristened as Relational bundle, Inc. nly to change its name again in 1982 to Oracle Systems Corporation. In 1995, Oracle Systems Corporation changed its name to Oracle Corporation. From 1979 d angiotensin converting enzyme 1992, Oracle primarily steeringed its attention on making its flagship product, Oracle RDBMS, strong. Oracle was getting complacent after version 5 and hence it came out with version 6 this was huge fiasco product and it was incubus for customer support and Oracle support. Corporate customers were threatening to pull discharge Oracle.Version 6 was quickly imitateed up by version 7 which protected the day for Oracle. 7. 34 turned out to be very invariable product. Version 8i, 9i and 10g added to Oracle RDBMS marrow competence. These versions by themselves attracted customers to Oracle. If everything was so bully, continues to be unsloped past why do I in particular feel that Oracle could be dying as a social club? Lack of take 5 leadership O racle has been led by Larry Ellison on the whole(prenominal) these long fourth dimension. Larry is a level 4 leader wish he was level 5.Under his leadership, Oracle has always focused on what should be done and how lead it be done. take aim 5 CEOs first focus on who and thusly on what and how. pile part of the equation remains very flaky, to say the least, with Oracle. It has been notoriously uncaring about exodus of top talent. Many ex-Oracle top performers get under ones skin gone on to form companies, rise to be C staff, let go of innovations but Oracle didnt in truth do anything specific to bemuse up the fleeing top talent.Also, homogeneous many other celebrity CEOs, Ellison is getting dickens confuse by things that his company should not be focusing on example, Oracles Ameri fag Cup sponsorship, Ellisons many primitive properties, Ellisons unflinching support for former ousted HP CEO and owing(p) friend incision Hurd, Ellisons purchasing Lanai Island. All th ese have without delay impact on Oracles future why? Because all these are issues that distract the CEO. Same thing happened with Lee Iacocca once he turned slightly Chrysler, he focused more on politics, motion-picture show building, helping White House ith many initiatives which confuse him from his duties as CEO. And Chrysler slid linchpin into the mess that it had recovered from. signalises hiring into Oracle forced Ellison to hop out Charles Phillips get through. Charles was a great executive and leader recognized for his talent in and outside Oracle. Letting a great leader go in favor of a friend whose moral ethics are adept about doubtful never went good with the employees. Also, Oracle doesnt have conversations surface-to-air missilee what suffer we do to cloture you from leaving with most of their top talent attritions. 5 Phases of a perilous corporationAny company going through the command nurtureth, if not managed in a disciplined manner, prat hurtle itself into peril. Jim collins brings this out very succinctly in his book How the Mighty try ear any why roughly companies never give in. The 5 stages of this journey from greatness to perish are very perceptible when they happen. The means to Destruction I suspect Oracles downward verticillated started after 2001-2002 (or at least some condemnation during that period). It could not come to legal injury with the ever high stock price of more than $45 and started become greedy.Perhaps under some implicit or explicit mandate from Uncle Larry, the gross revenue people were sent marching to see how untold more they could draw out of their unsuspecting and totally Oracle dependent customers. And perhaps the gross sales people came tail with the message that customers would not mind paying more for the top out jewel product vegetable marrow RDBMS as salutary as Oracle ERP Suite 11i. Oracle (read, Larry Ellison) could not stand competition oddly those then started looking at how to kill jibes hostile and non-hostile achievements of rival JD Edwards, PeopleSoft and Siebel.Every ripening company reaches a point where rise upth starts flattening happened with Apple, happened with Google and will happen with nigh big shinning company as well Oracle was not peculiarly immune to it so in an attempt to resuscitate its flattening buzz dispatchth, largely collectible to its flagship core RDBMS product, Oracle started developing another front that it could open this was logical argument of application servers an exploding market back in the day.An application server is case software that developers use to write and deploy web specific applications. The market had exploded past decade or so since many application server vendors were trying to build dynamic applications for the web and mobile devices. For Oracle the lure was that the market had the potential to perhaps become as profitable as their core database market.Oracle was very la te entrant into this market but it quickly acquired BEA software program (leader in the infinite at that point) and started competing come to cervix uteri with IBM WebSphere. Within Oracle, Application horde origin is viewed as three line of work besides core RDBMS and ERP. Oracle built its agate line roughly data bases and from the very beginning it has dominated the database market, providing the data stores and central repositories to store exact business information that businesses must maintain, use and safeguard to complete transactions.This has presumption it almost a monopoly and a very superior position when negotiating with customers. Oracles sales team that is always scavenging to find newfound sources of revenues, capitalizes on such an edge and leverages it to squeeze every dollar out of the customers rightfully earning a fearsome reputation of being hard-line negotiators and they are squeezing where it hurts the customers most at their licensing and s upport costs.However, like it had opened a tertiary front by getting into Application hosts market, it has since then opened many more such fronts via its achievement spree Oracle has expanded well beyond well(p) the databases and application servers and entered the business software domain as well, acquiring leader companies in domains related to engineering science infrastructure, sales, employees, inventory and customers. People typically use products from these acquired companies to track information related to these important entities. untrained growth In their pursuit to keep up with their YoY growth, Oracle has descended into a very undisciplined growth.There was also very unreasonable desire to grow into every domain. While developing via acquisitions, Oracle Executive perplexity has bury that it is not simply enough to acquire good companies, it takes good and sanctified diligence to grow them into great companies. Some of the companies Oracle acquired are as und er (source http//www. oracle. com)- 2013 Feb-13Acme PacketNe dickensrking computer computer hardware for telecommunications service providers 2012 Dec-12Eloqua Marketing Automation platform for managing sales and marketing leads across an enterprise.Dec-12DataRakerCloud based Analytic platform to transform meter, customer, intercommunicate and asset Big Data into actionable business intelligence. Nov-12InstantisCloud and premises-based PPM Project Portfolio oversight applications. Sep-12 grantMindsCloud-based social talent sourcing and corporate alumni caution application Jul-12Xsigo SystemsProvider of web virtualization applied science that simplifies be spoil infrastructure and operations Jul-12Skire beginnings provider for managing capital projects, facilities and real ground Jul-12InvolverSocial media development platformJun-12Collective IntellectCloud-based social intelligence solutions May-12VitrueSocial Marketing Platform provider Mar-12ClearTrialCloud-based clinical Trial Operations and Analytics products Feb-12TaleoTalent prudence package 2011 Oct-11RightNow TechnologiesCloud-based CRM Oct-11EndecaE-commerce & Business scholarship Sep-11GoAHead overhaul Availability and trouble Software Jul-11InQuira work K promptlyledge prudence Software Jul-11KspliceRebootless Linux kernel updates Jun-11 FatWire Software Web Content and Web Experience concern (WCM and WEM) Software Jun-11Pillar Data Systems Storage systemsApr-11Datanomic Data tone of voice Software Feb-11Ndevr admit IP save Environmental Reporting and Business information 2010 Nov-10 blind applied science GroupEcommerce software vendor May-10 Pre-Paid Software Payment resultant roles May-10 Market2LeadApplications May-10 Secerno Data protective cover hardware and software Apr-10Phase Forward Applications for life sciences companies and healthcare providers Feb-10AmberPoint Service-Oriented Architecture (SOA) management Feb-10Convergin Telecom Service BrokerJan-10Sun Micro systems Computer servers, storage, networks, Java, MySQL, software, and services Jan-10Silver Creek SystemsProduct Data superior Solutions for connecting Enterprise Systems, knobs, Suppliers and Partners. 2009 Oct-09SOPHOI Intellectual property management for Media & Entertainment attention Sep-09HyperRoll Financials, software and IT services Jun-09Conformia Product Lifecycle prudence May-09 practical(prenominal) Iron Software Server virtual(prenominal)ization Management Software Mar-09Relsys International Drug Safety and Risk Management 2008Oct-08Haley (RuleBurst Holdings) Natural Language Business Rules / Policy Automation Oct-08Advanced Visual engineering science Retail Space Planning Oct-08Primavera Project Portfolio Management Jun-08Skywire Software chronicle Management May-08AdminServer Insurance Policy Administration Jan-08BEA Systems Enterprise Software 2007 Dec-07MoniforceReal drug user Experience Monitoring Sep-07BridgestreamEnterprise Role Management software Ju l-07Bharosa, IncOnline Identity stealing and Fraud Detection May-07 brisk Software CorporationProduct Lifecycle Management Apr-07Lodestar CorporationUtilities Application SoftwareMar-07Hyperion CorporationEnterprise Performance Management Mar-07Tangosol IncDatagrid Software 2006 Nov-06Stellent Inc. Universal Content Management, Digital Rights Management Nov-06SPL WorldGroupUtility Billing and customer Service Systems Oct-06SunopsisETL, Data Integration Oct-06MetaSolvOSS service activation Jun-06DemantraDemand-Driven Planning Solution email&160protected IP-based Contact Center Solution Apr-06Portal Software Billing and tax Management solutions for communications and media industry Feb-06HotSipCommunications infrastructure solutionsFeb-06Sleepycat Software Open-source database software for embedded applications Jan-06360CommerceRetail persistence Solutions Jan-06Siebel SystemsCustomer relationship management 2005 Dec-05Temposoft Workforce Management Applications sam organization N ov-05OctetString Virtual Directory Solutions Nov-05Thor Technologies Enterprise-wide drug user Provisioning Solutions. Oct-05Innobase Discrete Transactional Open Source Database engine room Sep-05G-LogTransportation Management Solutions Aug-05i-flexBanking Industry Solutions Jul-05Context MediaEnterprise Content IntegrationJul-05ProfitLogicRetail Industry Solutions Jun-05TimesTenReal-time Enterprise Solutions Jun-05TripleHopContext-sensitive Enterprise reckon Apr-05RetekRetail Industry Solutions Mar-05OblixIdentity Management Solutions Jan-05PeopleSoftEnterprise Software 2004 Jun-04CollaxaBusiness process management May-04 PhaosIdentity management Jan-04SiteWorks Solutions clinical trials management 2003 Jun-03ReliatyEnterprise data security department Jun-03FileFishEnterprise content management 2002 Jun-02SteltorEnterprise calendaring system Jan-02NetForce untoward event reporting systemJan-02Indicast Voice portals Jan-02TopLink Object-relation mapping engineering science 199 9 Jun-99Thinking Machines Corporation datamining technology 1995 Aug-95IRI Software OLAP products 1994 Oct-94Rdb (A division of DEC) Relational database The early acquisitions show Oracle focus on growing its databases market but acquisitions of past few years including very surprising $5 Billion acquisition of Sun MicroSystems do not give us good sense of where Oracles focus is. The strategic theme in Oracles acquisition spree is missing and seems more like reactions of leadership focusing only when on growth.Take a look at spread of Oracle into sectors and even a layman would agree that it is stretching itself far in any case thin. If people outside of Oracle laughingstockt understand why Oracle acquired Sun Microsystems, the confusion is equally evident inside Oracle as well. No one can put a externalise on if Oracle acquired Sun for hardware market entry point or MySQL or Sun Solaris OS or was it a conclave of all these and then some. Oracle has come out with an integrated ERP product suite Fusion. The sales teams do not fully comprehend how to software tract Fusion compared to Oracle 12 version.As such Fusion itself is at least quaternary years besides late. In its attempt to create a unified platform for ERP software, it has managed to successfully scare customer who want just a small focused set of modules like AR and GL or Manufacturing. There was Steve Jobs who made the famous statement that we tell customers what they want. Larry Ellison can make the same claim but to be successful at doing that, you have to be a visionary and not be distracted so hopelessly as Ellison currently is. And, customers seem to be stopping point thing that Oracle considers while deciding these moves.For example, many of Suns largest former customers were large Wall Street financial institutions, and they were very slopped last year when Oracle wanted to restrict their server and in operation(p) system choices to only Sun technologies. They relentlessly pu shed back and Oracle had to at long last give in to their defiance, reaffirming deals that would let companies like HP and Dell stretch Sun software on their respective hardware. Customers will always secure about giving too ofttimes control to any one company, said Israel Hernandez, conveyor of software research at Barclays Capital.Larry Ellison runs Oracle likes his ain fiefdom. The Oracle Board of Directors is merely a formality that is maintained to assemble the Wall Street and SEC. Most decisions are taken unilaterally by Ellison and his leadership team. For example the 2010 hiring of ex-HP CEO, Mark Hurd, as a co-president after Hurd was laid-off by HP board collect to sexual harassment allegations. Analysts viewed the hiring as a positive outcome for Oracle as it looked to expand. However, Mr. Hurds reaching was quickly followed by departure of one ofOracle long-timer, Charles Phillips. At one time, Charles was touted as Ellisons protege and likely successor. Oracl e customers are worried about move all their eggs in one basket. Almost every company that they tend to do business is being bought by Oracle much to customers dislike. And for hosts of Oracles Annual Open World program, San Francisco city officials are running into dilemma of saying No to Oracle at some point for hosting the event, simply because it is unlikely that city could survive the demands of an Oracle quadruple times its current size.A look at its portfolio will tell you more about scary reach and disappointing and unfocused spread that Oracle has now 110 product lines spread across 14 contrastive domains. (source http//www. oracle. com)- DATABASE DataScaler (October 2010) e-Test (acquired from Empirix) (March 2008) Innobase (October 2005) Moniforce (December 2007) mValent (February 2009) Secerno (May 2010) Sleepycat (February 2006) TimesTen (June 2005) TripleHop (June 2005) MIDDLEWARE AmberPoint (February 2010) BEA (January 2008) Bharosa (July 2007) Bridgestream (Sep tember 2007) Captovation (January 2008)ClearApp (September 2008) Context Media (July 2005) Datanomic (April 2011) FatWire (June 2011) HyperRoll (September 2009) GoldenGate (July 2009) Java (April 2009) Oblix (March 2005) OctetString (November 2005) Passlogix (October 2010) Sigma Dynamics (August 2006) Silver Creek Systems (January 2010) Stellent (November 2006) Sunopsis (October 2006) Tacit Software (November 2008) Tangosol (March 2007) Thor Technologies (November 2005) APPLICATIONS AppForge (April 2007) Collective Intellect (June 2012) Eloqua (December 2012) Haley (October 2008) InQuira (July 2011) Interlace Systems (October 2007)Involver (July 2012) LogicalApps (October 2007) Market2Lead (May 2010) Ndevr (February 2011) RightNow (October 2011) SelectMinds (September 2012) Taleo (February 2012) TempoSoft (December 2005) Vitrue (May 2012) PRODUCT LINES prompt (May 2007) ATG (November 2010) Endeca (October 2011) Hyperion (March 2007) PeopleSoft (January 2005) Primavera (October 2008 ) Siebel (January 2006) email&160protected (June 2006) effectuation AND INTEGRATION TOOLS Global Knowledge Software (GKS) (July 2008) SERVERS, STORAGE, AND NETWORKING Ksplice (July 2011) Pillar Data Systems (June 2011Sun (April 2009) Xsigo Systems (July 2012) Virtual Iron (May 2009) INDUSTRY SOLUTIONS COMMUNICATIONS AND MEDIA Acme Packet (February 2013) (pending) Convergin (February 2010) eServGlobals Universal Service Platform (USP) (May 2010) GoAhead (September 2011) HotSip (February 2006) MetaSolv Software (October 2006) Net4Call (April 2006) Netsure Telecom Limited (September 2007) Portal Software (April 2006) Sophoi (October 2009) engineering science AND CONSTRUCTION Instantis (November 2012) Primavera (October 2008) Skire (July 2012) FINANCIAL SERVICES i-flex (August 2005)HEALTH SCIENCES ClearTrial (March 2012) Phase Forward (April 2010) Relsys (March 2009) INDUSTRIAL MANUFACTURING Agile (May 2007) Conformia Software (June 2009) Demantra (June 2006) G-Log (September 2005) IN SURANCE AdminServer (May 2008) Skywire Software (June 2008) RETAIL 360Commerce (January 2006) Advanced Visual applied science (AVT) (October 2008) ProfitLogic (July 2005) Retek (April 2005) UTILITIES DataRaker (December 2012) SPL WorldGroup (November 2006) LODESTAR (April 2007) Failure to Admit Reality It is also felt that Oracle executive management is out of touch with reality.The typical strategy is to first make fun of competitors, then ridicule them and finally scare the marbles out of the customers who were even thinking of adopting competitors products. If the competition still survives all this and continues to grow then Oracle does one of the two things all it buys the competition or simply buys the number two in that infinite. They did this for Sun, HP, NetApp, EMC, VMWare, Siebel, PeopleSoft, Salesforce, Microsoft (for MS SQL Server). Most of the times, customers can see through this and continue their adaptation of new products from customers.Most recent examples a re Oracles taking potshots for two consecutive years in Oracle Open World 2010 and 2011 at Salesforce. com and then when it couldnt deprive away customers from Salesforce. com or slow down the ramp up, it launched its own versions of cloud offerings in 2012 Open World. Sun MicroSystems Millstone Around the Neck some(prenominal) be the underlying rationale for purchase of Sun MicroSystems, Oracle is now challenged to make the whole acquisition viable. It now finds itself in the territory of hardware market that its sales team is so ill-equipped to sell.The only election it had was to turn the Sun hardware into Exadata, Exalogic and Exalytic Servers and try to hoodwink the customers into buying this commanding computing machines. Much to its chagrin, not many customers are biting this new set of baits. Dark Cloud Space For a long time almost three years Oracle made fun of Salesforce. com, virago and Microsoft specifically for their cloud services. It positioned the Exadata and Exalogic servers as new cloud servers that could provide as much computing power as tens of commodity hosts from these vendors cloud offerings.However, around late 2011-2012, it became very clear to Oracle that Cloud hosting and cloud based multi-tenancy software are the future and it scrambled to buy as many Cloud services based companies as it could examples are RightNow, Taleo, Virtue all acquired in spite of appearance months of each other in 2011-12. Oracle needs to make water that just acquisition of a company by and in itself doesnt position Oracle as a leader in that space acquisition is just the start Oracle in that locationafter needs to apply the talent in that company, invest and grow the company, integrate it seamlessly indoors Oracles other relevant product lines.Unfortunately for Oracle, these are also the areas where it has failed most of the times in the past. Grasping for straws Good news first, Oracle has not yet reached this stage yet in this stage, ver y perceptible symptoms are changing CEOs and executive staff in quick rotation and changing the product directions every so often. However, there is bound to be a moment, not in very distant future, when we will find that eople will become so weary of Oracle products that Ellison will be either dislodged by a hostile board or will blank out on his own. He has essentially no succession plan in place except bunch of execs like Thomas Kurian or Mark Hurd who can stake their claim to the crown. Thomas is well respected within the company but lacks charisma and chutzpah of Ellison. Mark may not be as respected but has good experience of press in the altogether costs like he did at HP. Death KnellIn this stage, a company either slowly vanishes into irrelevance or is acquired or merged into another competitor or goes belly up. For the sake of hundreds of thousands of professionals using, preaching and earning their bread from Oracle Technologies, I just hope Oracle never reaches tha t stage. Out of hundreds of companies that passed through this stage and vanished into oblivion, only two companies have thus far ever recovered from this stage Xerox and Apple. Once again, I am rightfully hoping that Oracle never reaches this stage.Will it be able to recover from this downward whorl? Oracle can arrest this dance towards its vanishing into oblivion question that really begs for an answer is will it have the honesty to first admit and then stop this march? for the first time of all, Oracle should focus and determine its core strength and then focus on building up on those. There is no prudence demonstrated in draining bills on acquisitions and then selling those companies at markdown, or worst, writing off the charge as a loss.It is about time Oracle give up its greed on squeezing more coin out of its customer and first create products and value that customers will willingly sport obscene amount of money for. References http//finance. yahoo. com http//www. o racle. com http//www. nytimes. com/2010/09/22/technology/22oracle. html? _r=0 http//www. forbes. com/2001/10/29/1029orcl. html http//www. zdnet. com/oracles-customers-a-bit-baffled-by-fusion-strategy-says-report-7000011143/ http//www. networkworld. com/news/2013/011713-oracle-cloud-265922. html How the Mighty filiation And why some companies never give in by Jim collins,Is Oracle DyingOracle Corporation was founded in Jun 1977 by Larry Ellison, Bob Miner, Ed Oates. Over the years, it has risen to become almost indisputable leader of the Relational Database Management System (RDBMS) market with 44% (Source IDC 2009) at least, for now, though, no one is sure how long that numero uno position will last. There were heady days of 1996-2008 or so when Oracle ruled the world of RDBMS. It was unchallenged crown king that could do no wrong. Hundreds of thousands of Database engineers, architects, administrators spoke of Oracle as if it was in truth the famed Oracle of Delphi.Conference p asses to Oracle Open World were so envy that it was distributed to star employees in any company using Oracle Products. However, after 2008, the downward ringlet has been very perceptible to the database communities. The hush-hush talks could now be heard very loud and clear. Only that Oracle was perhaps hearing but valiantly choosing not to listen. It continued to maintain the dignity of a star past its prime denying that it was aging, claiming that the talent would always hooter the age.I think the Oracle Goliath had forgotten that for every arrogant Goliath, there is a David that is bound to introduce it to its nemesis. But my guess this downward helical perhaps set into motion long before 2008 or so when world started noticing it. Time machine Let us trace Oracle Journey through its very meager beginnings and how it lost its course along the way. The chronological sequence of this journey could be roughly as I have shown below- 1977 SDL (Oracles predecessor) founded 1978 Oracle Version 1 developed 1979 First commercial SQL RDBMS 983 Oracle Version 3, first RDBMS developed to run on mainframes, PC, minicomputers, VMS 1984 first RDBMS to offer read-consistency 1985 Released of Oracle Version 5, first RDBMS in client/server environments 1986 Oracle IPO (NASDAQ) 1987 Rises to number one in the world for RDBMS, Oracle gets into building enterprise applications 1988 Oracle Version 6 with several new features PL/SQL, Row-level locking 1989 Oracle provides DB support for OLTP and moves its HQ to redwood Shores, California 1990 Launches Oracle Applications Release 8 992 Launched Oracle 7, offers full applications writ of execution methodology 1993 Client/server environments enhancements 1994 Oracle receives the industrys first security clearance 1995 Debuts first 64-bit RDBMS 1996 Releases feature rich 7. 3, with different types of data types text, maps, audio, video, or images, develops an open standards-based, web-enabled architecture 1998 Oracle8 Da tabase Oracle Applications 10. 7 first enterprise computing company to use Java 1999 Offers its first DBMS with XML support 2000 Oracle E-Business Suite Release 11i 001 Oracle9i Database with Oracle RAC, first RDBMS to complete 3 terabyte TPC-H record 2002 Oracle RDBMS passes 15 industry standard security evaluations first RDBMS to achieve this 2003 Oracle debuts Oracle Database 10g, more robust forgather software 2004 Declares Oracle the Information Company and spreads into many other areas 2005 Acquires rival PeopleSoft, releases first free database, Oracle 10g XE 2006 Declares a 30-year commitment for open standards computing, giving customers Unbreakable Linux 2008 HP Oracle Database Machine/Exadata storage 009Gets into too many things including BEA products, launch of Oracle Fusion Middleware, 11g advance Oracle 2010 Oracle acquires Sun Microsystems, announces Sun based Exadata/Exalogic machines 2011 Keeps adding bells and whistles to same Exadata/Exalogic machines 2012 An nounces initiative focused on Cloud Rise of Oracle Most of the engineers in software industry were not even born when in late seventies, it struck schoolboyish Larry Ellison, after reading paper written by Dr Edgar F.Codd (1970) on relational database management systems titled A Relational Model of Data for tumescent Shared Data Banks, that a software could be designed that could follow the principles of relational databases. His belief was reinforced when he read another article, print in the IBM Research Journal, and authored by Ed Oates (IBM) about the IBM System R database. System R itself was based on Codds theories. In 1977, Ellison co-founded Oracle Corporation with Bob Miner and Ed Oates under the name Software schooling Laboratories (SDL) and in 1979, SDL was rechristened as Relational Software, Inc. nly to change its name again in 1982 to Oracle Systems Corporation. In 1995, Oracle Systems Corporation changed its name to Oracle Corporation. From 1979 through 1992, Orac le primarily focused its attention on making its flagship product, Oracle RDBMS, strong. Oracle was getting complacent after version 5 and then it came out with version 6 this was huge fiasco product and it was incubus for customer support and Oracle support. Corporate customers were threatening to pull off Oracle.Version 6 was quickly followed up by version 7 which saved the day for Oracle. 7. 34 turned out to be very unchanging product. Version 8i, 9i and 10g added to Oracle RDBMS core competence. These versions by themselves attracted customers to Oracle. If everything was so good, continues to be good then why do I particularly feel that Oracle could be dying as a company? Lack of Level 5 leadership Oracle has been led by Larry Ellison all these years. Larry is a level 4 leader wish he was level 5.Under his leadership, Oracle has always focused on what should be done and how will it be done. Level 5 CEOs first focus on who and then on what and how. People part of the equatio n remains very flaky, to say the least, with Oracle. It has been notoriously uncaring about exodus of top talent. Many ex-Oracle top performers have gone on to form companies, rise to be C staff, free innovations but Oracle didnt really do anything specific to stop the fleeing top talent.Also, like many other celebrity CEOs, Ellison is getting two distracted by things that his company should not be focusing on example, Oracles American Cup sponsorship, Ellisons many prime properties, Ellisons unflinching support for former ousted HP CEO and great friend Mark Hurd, Ellisons purchasing Lanai Island. All these have direct impact on Oracles future why? Because all these are issues that distract the CEO. Same thing happened with Lee Iacocca once he turned around Chrysler, he focused more on politics, image building, helping White House ith many initiatives which distracted him from his duties as CEO. And Chrysler slid back into the mess that it had recovered from. Marks hiring into O racle forced Ellison to commit Charles Phillips off. Charles was a great executive and leader recognized for his talent in and outside Oracle. Letting a great leader go in favor of a friend whose moral ethics are passably doubtful never went well with the employees. Also, Oracle doesnt have conversations like what can we do to stop you from leaving with most of their top talent attritions. 5 Phases of a perilous corporationAny company going through the customary growth, if not managed in a disciplined manner, can hurtle itself into peril. Jim Collins brings this out very succinctly in his book How the Mighty choke any why some companies never give in. The 5 stages of this journey from greatness to perish are very perceptible when they happen. The cart track to Destruction I suspect Oracles downward spiral started after 2001-2002 (or at least sometime during that period). It could not come to price with the ever high stock price of more than $45 and started neat greedy.Perhap s under some implicit or explicit mandate from Uncle Larry, the sales people were sent marching to see how much more they could draw out of their unsuspecting and totally Oracle dependent customers. And perhaps the sales people came back with the message that customers would not mind paying more for the crown jewel product core RDBMS as well as Oracle ERP Suite 11i. Oracle (read, Larry Ellison) could not stand competition oddly those then started looking at how to kill rivals hostile and non-hostile acquisitions of rival JD Edwards, PeopleSoft and Siebel.Every growing company reaches a point where growth starts flattening happened with Apple, happened with Google and will happen with conterminous big shinning company as well Oracle was not particularly immune to it so in an attempt to resuscitate its flattening growth, largely due to its flagship core RDBMS product, Oracle started developing another front that it could open this was business of application servers an expl oding market back in the day.An application server is package software that developers use to write and deploy web specific applications. The market had exploded past decade or so since many application server vendors were trying to build dynamic applications for the web and mobile devices. For Oracle the lure was that the market had the potential to perhaps become as compensable as their core database market.Oracle was very late entrant into this market but it quickly acquired BEA Software (leader in the space at that point) and started competing neck to neck with IBM WebSphere. Within Oracle, Application Server business is viewed as third business besides core RDBMS and ERP. Oracle built its business around data bases and from the very beginning it has dominated the database market, providing the data stores and central repositories to store decisive business information that businesses must maintain, use and safeguard to complete transactions.This has given up it almost a mono poly and a very superior position when negotiating with customers. Oracles sales team that is always scavenging to find new sources of revenues, capitalizes on such an edge and leverages it to squeeze every dollar out of the customers rightfully earning a fearsome reputation of being hard-line negotiators and they are squeezing where it hurts the customers most at their licensing and support costs.However, like it had opened a third front by getting into Application Servers market, it has since then opened many more such fronts via its acquisition spree Oracle has expanded well beyond just the databases and application servers and entered the business software domain as well, acquiring leader companies in domains related to technology infrastructure, sales, employees, inventory and customers. People typically use products from these acquired companies to track information related to these important entities. uncorrected growth In their pursuit to keep up with their YoY growth, Oracle has descended into a very undisciplined growth.There was also very unreasonable desire to grow into every domain. While growing via acquisitions, Oracle Executive Management has forgotten that it is not simply enough to acquire good companies, it takes good and commit diligence to grow them into great companies. Some of the companies Oracle acquired are as under (source http//www. oracle. com)- 2013 Feb-13Acme PacketNetworking hardware for telecommunications service providers 2012 Dec-12Eloqua Marketing Automation platform for managing sales and marketing leads across an enterprise.Dec-12DataRakerCloud based Analytic platform to transform meter, customer, network and asset Big Data into actionable business intelligence. Nov-12InstantisCloud and premises-based PPM Project Portfolio Management applications. Sep-12SelectMindsCloud-based social talent sourcing and corporate alumni management application Jul-12Xsigo SystemsProvider of network virtualization technology that simp lifies cloud infrastructure and operations Jul-12SkireSolutions provider for managing capital projects, facilities and real landed estate Jul-12InvolverSocial media development platformJun-12Collective IntellectCloud-based social intelligence solutions May-12VitrueSocial Marketing Platform provider Mar-12ClearTrialCloud-based clinical Trial Operations and Analytics products Feb-12TaleoTalent Management Software 2011 Oct-11RightNow TechnologiesCloud-based CRM Oct-11EndecaE-commerce & Business Intelligence Sep-11GoAHead Service Availability and Management Software Jul-11InQuiraService Knowledge Management Software Jul-11KspliceRebootless Linux kernel updates Jun-11 FatWire Software Web Content and Web Experience Management (WCM and WEM) Software Jun-11Pillar Data Systems Storage systemsApr-11Datanomic Data Quality Software Feb-11Ndevr Select IP only Environmental Reporting and Business Intelligence 2010 Nov-10 nontextual matter engineering science GroupEcommerce software vendor May-10 Pre-Paid Software Payment Solutions May-10 Market2LeadApplications May-10 Secerno Data protection hardware and software Apr-10Phase Forward Applications for life sciences companies and healthcare providers Feb-10AmberPoint Service-Oriented Architecture (SOA) management Feb-10Convergin Telecom Service BrokerJan-10Sun Microsystems Computer servers, storage, networks, Java, MySQL, software, and services Jan-10Silver Creek SystemsProduct Data Quality Solutions for connecting Enterprise Systems, Customers, Suppliers and Partners. 2009 Oct-09SOPHOI Intellectual property management for Media & Entertainment Industry Sep-09HyperRoll Financials, software and IT services Jun-09Conformia Product Lifecycle Management May-09Virtual Iron Software Server Virtualization Management Software Mar-09Relsys International Drug Safety and Risk Management 2008Oct-08Haley (RuleBurst Holdings) Natural Language Business Rules / Policy Automation Oct-08Advanced Visual applied science Retail Space P lanning Oct-08Primavera Project Portfolio Management Jun-08Skywire Software roll Management May-08AdminServer Insurance Policy Administration Jan-08BEA Systems Enterprise Software 2007 Dec-07MoniforceReal User Experience Monitoring Sep-07BridgestreamEnterprise Role Management software Jul-07Bharosa, IncOnline Identity larceny and Fraud Detection May-07Agile Software CorporationProduct Lifecycle Management Apr-07Lodestar CorporationUtilities Application SoftwareMar-07Hyperion CorporationEnterprise Performance Management Mar-07Tangosol IncDatagrid Software 2006 Nov-06Stellent Inc. Universal Content Management, Digital Rights Management Nov-06SPL WorldGroupUtility Billing and Customer Service Systems Oct-06SunopsisETL, Data Integration Oct-06MetaSolvOSS service activation Jun-06DemantraDemand-Driven Planning Solution email&160protected IP-based Contact Center Solution Apr-06Portal Software Billing and tax revenue Management solutions for communications and media industry Feb-06HotSi pCommunications infrastructure solutionsFeb-06Sleepycat Software Open-source database software for embedded applications Jan-06360CommerceRetail Industry Solutions Jan-06Siebel SystemsCustomer relationship management 2005 Dec-05Temposoft Workforce Management Applications sam organization Nov-05OctetString Virtual Directory Solutions Nov-05Thor Technologies Enterprise-wide User Provisioning Solutions. Oct-05Innobase Discrete Transactional Open Source Database Technology Sep-05G-LogTransportation Management Solutions Aug-05i-flexBanking Industry Solutions Jul-05Context MediaEnterprise Content IntegrationJul-05ProfitLogicRetail Industry Solutions Jun-05TimesTenReal-time Enterprise Solutions Jun-05TripleHopContext-sensitive Enterprise look for Apr-05RetekRetail Industry Solutions Mar-05OblixIdentity Management Solutions Jan-05PeopleSoftEnterprise Software 2004 Jun-04CollaxaBusiness process management May-04 PhaosIdentity management Jan-04SiteWorks Solutions clinical trials management 2 003 Jun-03ReliatyEnterprise data protection Jun-03FileFishEnterprise content management 2002 Jun-02SteltorEnterprise calendaring system Jan-02NetForce contrary event reporting systemJan-02Indicast Voice portals Jan-02TopLink Object-relation mapping technology 1999 Jun-99Thinking Machines Corporation datamining technology 1995 Aug-95IRI Software OLAP products 1994 Oct-94Rdb (A division of DEC) Relational database The early acquisitions show Oracle focus on growing its databases market but acquisitions of past few years including very surprising $5 Billion acquisition of Sun MicroSystems do not give us good sense of where Oracles focus is. The strategic theme in Oracles acquisition spree is missing and seems more like reactions of leadership focusing only on growth.Take a look at spread of Oracle into sectors and even a layman would agree that it is stretching itself far too thin. If people outside of Oracle cant understand why Oracle acquired Sun Microsystems, the confusion is equal ly evident inside Oracle as well. No one can put a enrol on if Oracle acquired Sun for hardware market entry point or MySQL or Sun Solaris OS or was it a crew of all these and then some. Oracle has come out with an integrated ERP product suite Fusion. The sales teams do not fully comprehend how to package Fusion compared to Oracle 12 version.As such Fusion itself is at least four years too late. In its attempt to create a unified platform for ERP software, it has managed to successfully scare customer who want just a small focused set of modules like AR and GL or Manufacturing. There was Steve Jobs who made the famous statement that we tell customers what they want. Larry Ellison can make the same claim but to be successful at doing that, you have to be a visionary and not be distracted so hopelessly as Ellison currently is. And, customers seem to be last thing that Oracle considers while deciding these moves.For example, many of Suns largest former customers were large Wall St reet financial institutions, and they were really loaded last year when Oracle wanted to restrict their server and in operation(p) system choices to only Sun technologies. They relentlessly pushed back and Oracle had to finally give in to their defiance, reaffirming deals that would let companies like HP and Dell offer Sun software on their respective hardware. Customers will always gripe about giving too much control to any one company, said Israel Hernandez, director of software research at Barclays Capital.Larry Ellison runs Oracle likes his personal fiefdom. The Oracle Board of Directors is merely a formality that is maintained to run across the Wall Street and SEC. Most decisions are taken unilaterally by Ellison and his leadership team. For example the 2010 hiring of ex-HP CEO, Mark Hurd, as a co-president after Hurd was fired by HP board due to sexual harassment allegations. Analysts viewed the hiring as a positive outcome for Oracle as it looked to expand. However, Mr. Hurds arriver was quickly followed by departure of one ofOracle long-timer, Charles Phillips. At one time, Charles was touted as Ellisons protege and likely successor. Oracle customers are worried about pose all their eggs in one basket. Almost every company that they tend to do business is being bought by Oracle much to customers dislike. And for hosts of Oracles Annual Open World program, San Francisco city officials are running into dilemma of saying No to Oracle at some point for hosting the event, simply because it is unlikely that city could survive the demands of an Oracle four times its current size.A look at its portfolio will tell you more about scary reach and disappointing and unfocused spread that Oracle has now 110 product lines spread across 14 different domains. (source http//www. oracle. com)- DATABASE DataScaler (October 2010) e-Test (acquired from Empirix) (March 2008) Innobase (October 2005) Moniforce (December 2007) mValent (February 2009) Secerno (May 2010 ) Sleepycat (February 2006) TimesTen (June 2005) TripleHop (June 2005) MIDDLEWARE AmberPoint (February 2010) BEA (January 2008) Bharosa (July 2007) Bridgestream (September 2007) Captovation (January 2008)ClearApp (September 2008) Context Media (July 2005) Datanomic (April 2011) FatWire (June 2011) HyperRoll (September 2009) GoldenGate (July 2009) Java (April 2009) Oblix (March 2005) OctetString (November 2005) Passlogix (October 2010) Sigma Dynamics (August 2006) Silver Creek Systems (January 2010) Stellent (November 2006) Sunopsis (October 2006) Tacit Software (November 2008) Tangosol (March 2007) Thor Technologies (November 2005) APPLICATIONS AppForge (April 2007) Collective Intellect (June 2012) Eloqua (December 2012) Haley (October 2008) InQuira (July 2011) Interlace Systems (October 2007)Involver (July 2012) LogicalApps (October 2007) Market2Lead (May 2010) Ndevr (February 2011) RightNow (October 2011) SelectMinds (September 2012) Taleo (February 2012) TempoSoft (December 2005) Vitrue (May 2012) PRODUCT LINES Agile (May 2007) ATG (November 2010) Endeca (October 2011) Hyperion (March 2007) PeopleSoft (January 2005) Primavera (October 2008) Siebel (January 2006) email&160protected (June 2006) execution of instrument AND INTEGRATION TOOLS Global Knowledge Software (GKS) (July 2008) SERVERS, STORAGE, AND NETWORKING Ksplice (July 2011) Pillar Data Systems (June 2011Sun (April 2009) Xsigo Systems (July 2012) Virtual Iron (May 2009) INDUSTRY SOLUTIONS COMMUNICATIONS AND MEDIA Acme Packet (February 2013) (pending) Convergin (February 2010) eServGlobals Universal Service Platform (USP) (May 2010) GoAhead (September 2011) HotSip (February 2006) MetaSolv Software (October 2006) Net4Call (April 2006) Netsure Telecom Limited (September 2007) Portal Software (April 2006) Sophoi (October 2009) engineering science AND CONSTRUCTION Instantis (November 2012) Primavera (October 2008) Skire (July 2012) FINANCIAL SERVICES i-flex (August 2005)HEALTH SCIENCES ClearTrial (Marc h 2012) Phase Forward (April 2010) Relsys (March 2009) INDUSTRIAL MANUFACTURING Agile (May 2007) Conformia Software (June 2009) Demantra (June 2006) G-Log (September 2005) INSURANCE AdminServer (May 2008) Skywire Software (June 2008) RETAIL 360Commerce (January 2006) Advanced Visual Technology (AVT) (October 2008) ProfitLogic (July 2005) Retek (April 2005) UTILITIES DataRaker (December 2012) SPL WorldGroup (November 2006) LODESTAR (April 2007) Failure to Admit Reality It is also felt that Oracle executive management is out of touch with reality.The typical strategy is to first make fun of competitors, then ridicule them and finally scare the wits out of the customers who were even thinking of adopting competitors products. If the competition still survives all this and continues to grow then Oracle does one of the two things either it buys the competition or simply buys the number two in that space. They did this for Sun, HP, NetApp, EMC, VMWare, Siebel, PeopleSoft, Salesforce, Mic rosoft (for MS SQL Server). Most of the times, customers can see through this and continue their adaptation of new products from customers.Most recent examples are Oracles taking potshots for two consecutive years in Oracle Open World 2010 and 2011 at Salesforce. com and then when it couldnt deprive away customers from Salesforce. com or slow down the ramp up, it launched its own versions of cloud offerings in 2012 Open World. Sun MicroSystems Millstone Around the Neck some(prenominal) be the underlying rationale for purchase of Sun MicroSystems, Oracle is now challenged to make the whole acquisition viable. It now finds itself in the territory of hardware market that its sales team is so ill-equipped to sell.The only option it had was to turn the Sun hardware into Exadata, Exalogic and Exalytic Servers and try to hoodwink the customers into buying this unequivocal computing machines. Much to its chagrin, not many customers are biting this new set of baits. Dark Cloud Space For a long time almost three years Oracle made fun of Salesforce. com, virago and Microsoft specifically for their cloud services. It positioned the Exadata and Exalogic servers as new cloud servers that could provide as much computing power as tens of commodity hosts from these vendors cloud offerings.However, around late 2011-2012, it became very clear to Oracle that Cloud hosting and cloud based multi-tenancy software are the future and it scrambled to buy as many Cloud services based companies as it could examples are RightNow, Taleo, Virtue all acquired within months of each other in 2011-12. Oracle needs to figure that just acquisition of a company by and in itself doesnt position Oracle as a leader in that space acquisition is just the start Oracle thereafter needs to apply the talent in that company, invest and grow the company, integrate it seamlessly within Oracles other relevant product lines.Unfortunately for Oracle, these are also the areas where it has failed most of the times in the past. Grasping for straws Good news first, Oracle has not yet reached this stage yet in this stage, very perceptible symptoms are changing CEOs and executive staff in quick rotation and changing the product directions every so often. However, there is bound to be a moment, not in very distant future, when we will find that eople will become so weary of Oracle products that Ellison will be either dislodged by a hostile board or will give way on his own. He has essentially no succession plan in place except bunch of execs like Thomas Kurian or Mark Hurd who can stake their claim to the crown. Thomas is well respected within the company but lacks charisma and chutzpah of Ellison. Mark may not be as respected but has good experience of cutting costs like he did at HP. Death KnellIn this stage, a company either slowly vanishes into irrelevance or is acquired or merged into another competitor or goes belly up. For the sake of hundreds of thousands of professionals using, preaching and earning their bread from Oracle Technologies, I just hope Oracle never reaches that stage. Out of hundreds of companies that passed through this stage and vanished into oblivion, only two companies have thus far ever recovered from this stage Xerox and Apple. Once again, I am truly hoping that Oracle never reaches this stage.Will it be able to recover from this downward spiral? Oracle can arrest this dance towards its vanishing into oblivion question that really begs for an answer is will it have the honesty to first admit and then stop this march? First of all, Oracle should focus and determine its core strength and then focus on building up on those. There is no prudence demonstrated in draining money on acquisitions and then selling those companies at markdown, or worst, writing off the charge as a loss.It is about time Oracle give up its greed on squeezing more money out of its customer and first create products and value that customers will willingly track down obscene amount of money for. References http//finance. yahoo. com http//www. oracle. com http//www. nytimes. com/2010/09/22/technology/22oracle. html? _r=0 http//www. forbes. com/2001/10/29/1029orcl. html http//www. zdnet. com/oracles-customers-a-bit-baffled-by-fusion-strategy-says-report-7000011143/ http//www. networkworld. com/news/2013/011713-oracle-cloud-265922. html How the Mighty give ear And why some companies never give in by Jim Collins,